Establishing orbit Reading emissions Verifying signal Climate to Currency
Truth, read from orbit
Live · 881,480 assets rescored this hour · 86M readings per month · horizon 120 months See all
Climate Intelligence. Financial Advantage.

Predict risk.
Protect value.

Every month we score industrial units, buildings and diversified portfolios for heat, flood, water stress and storm exposure. Our 10 year predictions make it possible to act on the risks in-time, protecting capital and lives.

Run a prediction See how it is read

Ranked #1 globally by UNIDO · Stress-tested against 100Mn tonnes of steel production

1Mn+
physical assets mapped worldwide
Each assets carries a live climate risk score, an emissions profile & activity data.
86M
data points generated every month
Our models run daily translating satellite signals to climate intelligence.
120
months of forward prediction
Scored every month, above 90% recall and 80% precision.
>95%
accuracy on Scope 3 emissions
Across the value-chain, no surveys or supplier site-visits needed.
Who it's for

Owners, insurers, financiers and regulators are pricing the same physical assets.

Underwrite actual asset-level exposure.

Price a policy on the hazard schedule of the site itself, not the postcode. Monthly scores mean the book re-rates as the risk moves, not once a year.

Event window forecasts per insured asset, out to 120 months.
Portfolio accumulation by hazard, region and return period.
Independent, satellite verified base data for claims and reserving.
Measuring emissions from space

Asset-level Data for 1M+ assets globally

Satellites see a region. They do not see an asset. DEFINE’s models separate one plant’s signal from the traffic, the weather and the plant next door, then convert it into tonnes: CO₂, methane, heat and aerosols, site by site. No survey, no self reported inventory, no disclosure cycle.

Based on temporal & geographic patterns emerging from the last 2.5 decades, we predict climate events 10 years out. IPCC-aligned asset-specific risk profiles are auto-generated by DEFINE.

The live observation loop · real plants, illustrative estimates, not live data

Pricing climate risk

High emissions vs. high exposure.

One asset emits heavily and faces a carbon bill. Another emits almost nothing and faces the sea. Emissions data alone misprices both.

An integrated steel works emits roughly two tonnes of CO₂ per tonne of steel. Carbon pricing and border levies attach a cost to each of those tonnes. Physical risk at the site is moderate; the cost of production is what rises.

A coastal tower emits very little, but sits in a surge zone whose return period is shortening. Premiums rise, cover is withdrawn, then the valuation falls. Its emissions data shows none of this.

High emission industrial cluster
Sim · emission intensity
Emissions
Severe
Physical risk
Elevated

Carbon price, border levy, and financed emissions reporting at the lender. All three attach to measured tonnes.

Low emission, high exposure coastal city
Sim · surge exposure
Emissions
Low
Physical risk
Severe

Low emissions give no protection from surge. Insurance re-rates first, lending terms follow.

Most climate data answers one of those two questions. DEFINE answers both, for the same asset, every month.

What the number means

What a rising risk score means on the ground.

Each score on DEFINE resolves to a site and a month: a week in May when the furnace crew cannot safely work, a September when the access road floods and trucks stop. DEFINE is not a weather app. Ten year predictions provide enough time needed to refinance, retrofit, rebuild or relocate.

Furnace floor, people at work

Inside the fence line

Early predictions before shifts are cut first, health insurance spikes and equipment needs cooling.

Flooded street, city

Outside the fence line

A flood that reaches a warehouse also closes the road to it. Access and workforce are lost before the building is damaged.

Aerosol field · modelled

Downwind from the asset

The emissions plume we measure is the same air a town breathes. One reading, two liabilities: the carbon bill and the health cost.

Predictive risk

Monthly Climate Risk Predictions

The same global warming produces different losses at different sites, depending on process route, water source, elevation and what surrounds them.

Select an asset and an emissions pathway, then move the horizon. The index, the hazard mix and the event window update with it.

Duisburg, Germany · 51.47°N 6.73°E
52
Elevated
5 yr out
Horizon +6 vs next month
Next month5 years10 years
People in the hazard footprint
0.4M to 0.6M
Most exposed of its peer set
5th of 10
comparable BF-BOF sites
Risk index, 0 to 100, higher is worse · monthly to 2036 · selected pathway against the other two
Extreme heat52
Flood and rainfall32
Water stress38
Storm and cyclone15
Next event window
Rhine gauge below the freight threshold, Aug to Oct 2029. Barge delivery of ore and coal constrained.
Value at risk
4.8% of asset value, indicative
What the pathway buys
11 points of index avoided at this horizon, against SSP5-8.5.
Decision signal
Water availability leads here, not heat. Carbon cost under CBAM compounds it before the next refinancing.

Satellite observation, IPCC pathways, plant data. Representative values.

How the prediction is made

From a satellite reading to a ten year forecast.

DEFINE brings together observed and primary data to form the full picture. The model incorporates how the asset operates, what a site emits and how local climate will evolve based on local emissions & global context.

Next, the model estimates actual impact of local climatic conditions on the asset. Pattern matching against comparable sites and their hazard histories produces a forward curve. As the asset improves, DEFINE automatically recalibrates the risk.

Satellite observation
Orbital pass
Observed

What the asset emits

Machine models read CO₂, methane, heat and aerosol signals above every site we track. No site visit and no permission required.

Climate hazard layer
Hazard layer
Modelled

What the climate will do to it

Global climate models brought down to this one location, under three IPCC pathways: heat, flood, water and storms.

Plant operations
Site validated
Validated

How the site actually runs

Real production, process and energy data, checked on the ground, including ~100 MT of steel verified alongside the regulator.

For anyone holding more than one asset

Prioritise assets for decarbonisation.

Risk is not spread evenly. In most portfolios a small number of sites carry most of the exposure, and they are not always the sites capital is already allocated to.

Ranking each site by how fast its risk is rising against what abatement costs turns a decarbonisation plan into a spending order.

01 Integrated steel plantDuisburg · BF-BOF Risk 2036 71 Abatement cost $142M Exposure removed 38%
02 Coal power stationEast Java · 1.8 GW Risk 2036 66 Abatement cost $210M Exposure removed 29%
03 Logistics warehouseGulf Coast · 46,000 m² Risk 2036 54 Abatement cost $8M Exposure removed 17%
04 Cement kilnHidalgo · 3.2 MT/yr Risk 2036 47 Abatement cost $61M Exposure removed 11%
05 Office campusLagos · 3 towers Risk 2036 31 Abatement cost $4M Exposure removed 5%
Representative portfolio, figures illustrative
Recognitions & mandates

Trusted where the stakes are highest.

Global #1

Regulatory & Policy AI

Ranked the #1 implemented solution by UNIDO and Anthropic.

National mandate

India’s Ministry of Steel

Around 100 MT of steel emissions validated on-site with the regulator.

Shortlisted

RBI Regulatory Sandbox

Sustainable finance & credit-risk pricing cohort.

Integrated

NITI Aayog Growth Hubs

Powering regional climate-risk simulation.

Book a demo

See it on your own portfolio.

Name a plant, a building or a list of assets. We run it live and show the risk score, the hazards behind it and what the exposure is worth, month by month to 2036.

Book a demo Talk to DEFINE Research
What the session covers
01A score for the asset, this month and every month to 2036.
02Which hazards drive it, and when they are expected to arrive.
03How it compares with its sector on measured, not reported, emissions.
04What the exposure is worth, and what removing it would cost.

Enterprise platform. Pricing depends on assets, data needs and use case.